Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.1%
Leverkusen
13.9%
Draw
6.1%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Leverkusen
vs
0.64
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
3-0
11.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
5-1
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).