Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Modena
33.9%
Draw
39.9%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Modena
vs
1.09
Genoa
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.9%
0-1
14.6%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).