Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
La Coruna
22.5%
Draw
18.0%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
La Coruna
vs
0.88
Eldense
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.0%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).