⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 10CSV

19 Jan 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
16.4%
Valenciennes
33.1%
Draw
50.4%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.44

Valenciennes

vs
1.02

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS21.9%
Over 0.577.7%
Over 1.542.1%
Over 2.518.2%
Over 3.56.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
24.6%
0-0
22.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-0
11.0%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
5.3%
0-3
4.1%
2-1
2.3%
2-0
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-2
1.2%
0-4
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).