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12 Apr 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.7%
Sint-Truiden
22.9%
Draw
21.4%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

Sint-Truiden

vs
1.12

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).