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HHT: 20CSV

07 Oct 2023 · 13:00

Lecco

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.6%
Cosenza
27.6%
Draw
19.8%
Lecco

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Cosenza

vs
0.88

Lecco

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).