Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.4%
Porto
16.3%
Draw
5.4%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Porto
vs
0.44
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS32.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.2%
1-0
14.9%
3-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
5-0
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
0-1
2.6%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).