Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Logrones
24.1%
Draw
44.5%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Logrones
vs
1.61
Almeria
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).