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31 Oct 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.4%
Dover Athletic
28.7%
Draw
40.9%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Dover Athletic

vs
1.38

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).