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DHT: 12CSV

26 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.9%
Falkirk
25.8%
Draw
16.4%
Inverness C

Expected Goals (xG)

1.85

Falkirk

vs
0.91

Inverness C

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).