⚽ FootballData
4 – 3
HHT: 30CSV

06 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
43.4%
Edinburgh City
26.4%
Draw
30.2%
Dumbarton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Edinburgh City

vs
1.49

Dumbarton

Markets

BTTS66.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
1-0
4.9%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
1-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).