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DHT: 21CSV

27 Aug 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.7%
Rennes
21.9%
Draw
15.4%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Rennes

vs
0.75

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.4%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).