Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.1%
Holstein Kiel
23.7%
Draw
13.2%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Holstein Kiel
vs
0.74
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).