Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Catanzaro
27.5%
Draw
33.1%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Catanzaro
vs
1.34
Como
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).