Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Fulham
23.4%
Draw
18.0%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Fulham
vs
0.98
Millwall
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).