Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.1%
Vizela
13.3%
Draw
79.6%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Vizela
vs
2.57
Benfica
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.5%
0-3
11.6%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
0-4
7.5%
1-3
7.2%
1-1
6.3%
1-4
4.7%
0-5
3.8%
0-0
3.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).