Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Lecce
23.7%
Draw
63.5%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Lecce
vs
1.63
Como
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.2%
0-2
14.7%
0-0
10.9%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
8.0%
1-0
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
0-4
3.3%
2-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).