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23 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.0%
Nancy
27.8%
Draw
44.2%
Orleans

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Nancy

vs
1.18

Orleans

Markets

BTTS38.9%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.4%
1-0
12.3%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).