Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.7%
Spartak Moskva
16.4%
Draw
9.9%
Krylya Sovetov
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Spartak Moskva
vs
0.96
Krylya Sovetov
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.4%
1-0
6.1%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
0-0
3.3%
5-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).