Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
St Mirren
28.7%
Draw
32.5%
Dundee
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
St Mirren
vs
1.18
Dundee
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).