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01 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.7%
Scunthorpe
23.3%
Draw
26.0%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.99

Scunthorpe

vs
1.39

Torquay

Markets

BTTS65.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).