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02 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.3%
Walsall
25.1%
Draw
44.6%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Walsall

vs
1.44

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).