Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.2%
Eldense
21.9%
Draw
53.9%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Eldense
vs
1.93
Castellon
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.3%
0-3
5.1%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).