Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.9%
Ipswich
14.4%
Draw
6.6%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Ipswich
vs
0.46
Wigan
Markets
BTTS32.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.9%
1-0
15.7%
3-0
12.6%
2-1
7.7%
4-0
7.1%
1-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).