Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Gil Vicente
27.1%
Draw
43.0%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Gil Vicente
vs
1.52
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).