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08 Dec 2024 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.3%
Zagłębie Lubin
27.1%
Draw
21.7%
Legia Warszawa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Zagłębie Lubin

vs
0.96

Legia Warszawa

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).