Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Bari
27.7%
Draw
46.1%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Bari
vs
1.55
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).