Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Birmingham
28.6%
Draw
25.0%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Birmingham
vs
0.98
West Brom
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.0%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).