Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Famalicao
24.0%
Draw
13.2%
Tondela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Famalicao
vs
0.55
Tondela
Markets
BTTS32.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
2-0
14.8%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-0
3.0%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).