Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Shrewsbury
21.4%
Draw
57.1%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Shrewsbury
vs
1.77
Oxford
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
1-1
10.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
7.2%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.0%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).