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26 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.9%
Braintree Town
32.1%
Draw
24.1%
Ebbsfleet

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Braintree Town

vs
0.82

Ebbsfleet

Markets

BTTS40.2%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.8%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
14.1%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).