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18 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.5%
Blackpool
21.1%
Draw
63.4%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Blackpool

vs
2.18

Coventry

Markets

BTTS57.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
8.3%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
7.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
1-4
3.9%
0-4
3.9%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).