Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
Belenenses
25.6%
Draw
58.1%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Belenenses
vs
1.46
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.7%
0-2
13.3%
0-0
12.0%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
4.0%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
2-0
2.4%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).