Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.6%
St Pauli
27.3%
Draw
53.0%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
St Pauli
vs
1.54
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).