Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Inter
25.5%
Draw
22.9%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Inter
vs
0.92
Milan
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).