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AHT: 12CSV

15 May 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.1%
Nice
21.7%
Draw
49.3%
Paris SG

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Nice

vs
1.83

Paris SG

Markets

BTTS61.7%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
0-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).