Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Santa Clara
34.2%
Draw
26.0%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Santa Clara
vs
0.67
Farense
Markets
BTTS28.4%
Over 0.579.8%
Over 1.546.0%
Over 2.520.9%
Over 3.57.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.2%
1-0
19.4%
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
5.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
3-0
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
0-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).