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DHT: 10CSV

11 Dec 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.2%
Bochum
16.2%
Draw
74.6%
Dortmund

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Bochum

vs
2.57

Dortmund

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.2%
0-3
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.2%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.6%
0-4
6.1%
1-4
5.0%
0-0
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
3.2%
0-5
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).