Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.3%
Watford
24.8%
Draw
64.9%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Watford
vs
1.78
Everton
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
0-2
14.8%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
10.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
4.1%
0-4
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).