Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Mirandes
25.5%
Draw
40.6%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Mirandes
vs
1.42
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).