Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
Tenerife
28.9%
Draw
28.1%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Tenerife
vs
0.93
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).