Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Famalicao
25.8%
Draw
47.0%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Famalicao
vs
1.41
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).