Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Catanzaro
29.8%
Draw
28.8%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Catanzaro
vs
1.08
Modena
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).