Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.1%
Aldershot
14.5%
Draw
75.4%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Aldershot
vs
3.00
Notts County
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.577.3%
Over 3.558.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.2%
1-3
8.2%
0-2
7.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
6.2%
1-1
6.0%
0-4
5.7%
0-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
4.4%
1-5
3.7%
0-5
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).