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AHT: 02CSV

22 Dec 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.7%
Arbroath
28.0%
Draw
24.2%
Raith Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Arbroath

vs
0.97

Raith Rvs

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).