Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Ajaccio
28.5%
Draw
27.9%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Ajaccio
vs
0.83
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).