Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Karlsruhe
23.2%
Draw
34.9%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Karlsruhe
vs
1.76
Dresden
Markets
BTTS71.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
3-2
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).