Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Leicester
27.3%
Draw
37.2%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Leicester
vs
1.42
Swansea
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).