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AHT: 12CSV

04 Nov 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.4%
Dorking
26.7%
Draw
42.9%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Dorking

vs
1.56

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).