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27 Apr 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.4%
Konyaspor
24.9%
Draw
14.7%
Ad. Demirspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.11

Konyaspor

vs
1.01

Ad. Demirspor

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
7.0%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
4-0
3.7%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).